2023-11-17 • Updated
Gold prices (XAU/USD) surged more than 1.0% on Thursday of this week, rebounding from a lackluster performance in the previous trading session. This upward momentum was driven by a notable retreat in U.S. Treasury yields, spurred by disappointing labor market data released earlier in the day. Key catalysts include higher-than-expected applications for unemployment benefits, recording 231,000 for the week ending November 11 against a forecast of 220,000. Continuing jobless claims also surpassed expectations, reaching 1,865,000, the highest in almost two years, indicating growing challenges in American employment. The combination of lackluster economic indicators and positive October CPI and PPI figures supports the perception that the Federal Reserve's tightening cycle is concluding, fostering expectations of future rate cuts, which has contributed to gold's upward trajectory amid a more dovish FOMC monetary policy outlook. But is this all there is to Gold? Read on to find out.
The weekly timeframe of XAUUSD shows price currently retesting a supply zone that is in very close proximity to the 76% of the Fibonacci zone. This on its own signifies that the upward rally has likely come to an end, and we may begin to see a reversal. We are not done yet though, so let’s see what the Daily timeframe indicates.
On the Daily timeframe of XAUUSD, we see that price has been rejected initially from the supply zone and seems to simply be heading back up in search of a supply zone from which its bearish momentum can be easily recovered.
This 4-Hour chart clarifies the entire prospects for Gold. Here, we can see price currently trading around the 76% level of the Fibonacci, and the supply zone. There is also a notable trendline resistance which serves as an additional confluence for a bearish sentiment.
Analyst’s Expectations:
Direction: Bearish
Target: 1952.00
Invalidation: 2010.00
The trading of CFDs comes at a risk. To succeed, you have to manage risks properly. To avoid costly mistakes while you look to trade these opportunities, be sure to do your due diligence and manage your risk appropriately.
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Bearish scenario: Sell below 2200 / 2194 ... Nearest bullish scenario: Buy above 2197... Bullish scenario after retracement: Consider buys around each indicated demand zone
Bullish scenario: Intraday buys above 2160.00 with TP: 2171 and TP2: 2177 // Bearish scenario: Sells below 2177 with TP1: 2150, TP2: 2142, and 2126
This article uses price action and volume profile techniques to address a fundamental and technical perspective based on the daily chart analysis of spot gold (XAUUSD).
Jerome H. Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, stated that the central bank can afford to be patient in deciding when to cut interest rates, citing easing inflation and stable economic growth. Powell emphasized the Fed's independence from political influences, particularly relevant as the election season nears. The Fed had raised interest rates to 5.3 ...
Hello again my friends, it’s time for another episode of “What to Trade,” this time, for the month of April. As usual, I present to you some of my most anticipated trade ideas for the month of April, according to my technical analysis style. I therefore encourage you to do your due diligence, as always, and manage your risks appropriately.
Bearish scenario: Sell below 1.0820 / 1.0841... Bullish scenario: Buy above 1.0827...
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